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27/04/2008, 20:34
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Dick Smith

Joined on 23/08/2004
Surrey and Manche (Pays Mortainais)
Posts 8,760
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Re: Aspirations..................................
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Not really. What were the parameters of the PR system concerned? Was it realistic, or one he whisked out of the air to prove a point? Did he factor tactical voting in or out? And of course it could be nothing at all to do with Prof Dunleavy having a book out at about the same time?
He also predicted in 1999 that Labour might well lose the next election (in fact it won the next two).
Margetts is more usually linked to research on e-government.
Both are respectable academics, but you have to look at the system of PR that they have used as their model. It seems to be worst-case, that is it takes the position most opposite from the real result; I think you can safely assume that any government in power would not pursue that option, they would look for something that gave them an advantage. Probably a transferable vote system, with thresholds.
So your 'proof' turns out to be an opinion expressed in a newspaper press release about a book by two academics witha bit of an axe to grind and a less-than-brilliant record of predicting elections.
Now, how about some proof of the dispirited electorate?
Regards
Dick Smith
Nowhere is there warmth to be found Among those afraid of losing their ground
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27/04/2008, 21:04
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Russethouse

Joined on 23/08/2004
Forum Moderator
Posts 9,723
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Re: Aspirations..................................
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27/04/2008, 21:29
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Dick Smith

Joined on 23/08/2004
Surrey and Manche (Pays Mortainais)
Posts 8,760
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Re: Aspirations..................................
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?
Regards
Dick Smith
Nowhere is there warmth to be found Among those afraid of losing their ground
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27/04/2008, 21:49
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Tressy

Joined on 26/02/2008
Charente-Maritime
Posts 189
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Re: Aspirations..................................
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Gluestick wrote: | | ...What is needed, IMHO is a political truce: when countries face serious strategic problems, such as war, politics is put on the back burner for the duration.
Britain urgently needs a Coalition, during which period it can sort out its urgent social and economic problems:... |
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Interesting Idea!![Smile [:)]](/cs/images/emotions/smile.gif)
But nope, things have to be far, far worse before that'll happen again.
That said, I know politicians of all persuasions discuss reform of the Welfare State..and then run away as fast as they can.
I do sometimes wish they could get together on that one thing. It was born of a coalition, a beautiful notion - and it could be re-framed as one (probably slightly less 'beautiful', but those 'framers' were a little lacking in that wonderful attribute called 'hind-sight', weren't they?).
But stop me now! I'm heading off into the land of fantasy and wonderment at what could be.![Smile [:)]](/cs/images/emotions/smile.gif)
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28/04/2008, 6:30
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Gluestick

Joined on 22/03/2006
UK and Nord Pas de Calais
Posts 2,342
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Re: Aspirations..................................
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Dick Smith wrote: | So your 'proof' turns out to be an opinion expressed in a newspaper press release about a book by two academics witha bit of an axe to grind and a less-than-brilliant record of predicting elections.
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Gotcha!
![Big Smile [:D]](/cs/images/emotions/biggrin.gif)
No: in fact from actually bothering to read and absorb this analysis. I purposefully refrained from mentioning this, as I wanted to set a nice little trap for you to await your inevitable scathing response: and this from one apparently seeking open and reasoned debate!
I now await your in depth and erudite reprise: after you too have carefully read and absorbed the presented data, too.
http://www.lse.ac.uk/collections/pressAndInformationOffice/newsAndEvents/archives/2005/Impact_ofUK_Electoral_Systems_report.doc
"Yes, but that apart, Mrs Lincoln, did you enjoy the play?"
Gluestick
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28/04/2008, 6:45
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Dick Smith

Joined on 23/08/2004
Surrey and Manche (Pays Mortainais)
Posts 8,760
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Re: Aspirations..................................
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Oh you are far too clever for me! I shall go and live in a cave populated by people who are all bitter and twisted about England and read the Metro for my news!
No.
This alters nothing! You clearly do not understand that the world is not as you and the Daily Mail see it, but are too blinkered to accept the fact.
Regards
Dick Smith
Nowhere is there warmth to be found Among those afraid of losing their ground
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28/04/2008, 7:03
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Gluestick

Joined on 22/03/2006
UK and Nord Pas de Calais
Posts 2,342
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Re: Aspirations..................................
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I don't read the Mail.
You yourself chose to denegrate two apparently learned professors and their work and called for "Proof": which, as we both know is a rare animal in academe.
And now the ball's in your court: so it's up to you to revert with some learned analysis of the paper or cite your own paper as your "Proof".
You don't escape that easily!
"Yes, but that apart, Mrs Lincoln, did you enjoy the play?"
Gluestick
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28/04/2008, 20:42
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trees 2
Joined on 28/04/2008
Posts 99
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Re: Aspirations..................................
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Dick Smith wrote: | You clearly do not understand that the world is not as you and the Daily Mail see it, but are too blinkered to accept the fact.
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Dick: could you explain why you see it as silly to accept what a newspaper says, but you will accept as the whole truth, what a government department says? Especially as that department has something to lose if the paper's statistics are true. And especially especially as that department is part of a government who keep telling us that inflation nis 2% or thereabouts, when the Mirror ran a check on household budgets last week, and found that a PROPER shopping basket, containing stuff we all HAVE to buy, costs above 10% more now than this time last year?
Sorry about the long sentence![Wink [;-)]](/cs/images/emotions/wink.gif)
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France Forum » General Discuss... » Other Topics » Aspirations..................................
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